According to Fox News Poll, 48 percent says the economy is getting better, the highest since 2003. This is largely attributed to a swing in post-election optimism among Republicans, who are up to 54 points in this metric. A lot of people in the Red-states are excited about the Trump economy. Between this month’s job reports and the sustained Wall Street rally, Red –staters have all the reasons to be overly excited.
But there’s one gruesome number on health care when the GOP’s in the middle of trying to overhaul ObamaCare. (The GOP bill itself draws a similar rating of 34/54.) In fact, it may be that angst about health-care reform is beginning to cannibalize Trump’s overall job approval. He was at 48/47 in Fox’s poll just a month ago; today, despite the economic excitement among voters, he’s slipped to 43/51. If you’re a Trumper who hates “RyanCare,” here’s your cue to encourage him to bail out before he sustains any more damage. Before you do, though, ask yourself this: How much better could Trump’s numbers on handling health care realistically be? The other party will uniformly oppose any GOP attempt to undo ObamaCare, and within the GOP there’s bound to be dissatisfaction for conflicting reasons — conservatives will find any compromise too far to the center while moderates will find it too far to the right.
Two-thirds of the bill’s opponents think it goes too far into wrecking O-Care, but a significant majority of a fifth believes it doesn’t go far enough. The one-fifth might even contain a spectrum of views.
Some people may be Rand Paul conservatives who want a clean repeal; others may be Bernie Sanders socialists who want single-payer. (Liberals complained for years that ObamaCare’s poor polling didn’t reflect the “true” state of public opinion since some of its critics were hard-leftists who disliked the bill because it wasn’t a big enough step towards socialized medicine.) What you’re seeing here in two small data sets is the agony of health-care politics. It’s hard to thread the needle and win majority support when there are so many different strains of opinion to please.