Polls aside, let’s look at a few hard numbers we can all agree on.
In 2008, Democrats had a 15.6 percent advantage among the 1.4 million absentee voters in Ohio. Democrats now lead by only 6.5 percent among the state’s 1.2 million absentee voters (where data is available). In Ohio, voters don’t register by parties, but we can determine party by how they voted in previous primaries. President Obama won Ohio by 4.6 percent in 2008.
In 2008, Obama trailed McCain by 1.9 percent among the 295,000 absentee voters in Pennsylvania. In 2012, Obama trails Governor Romney by 18.8 percent among the 115,000 absentee voters.
These are all signs of a whopping Romney landslide in the works.