The polls in Florida show a close race BUT the problem for Obama is the fact that he’s way below 50%. Getting to 50% is improbable says Frank Luntz. Using the same argument, Suffolk University pollster says Obama has no chance in Florida, North Carolina, or Virginia.
Republican pollster Frank Luntz is ready to "take Florida off the Swing State list" and put it in Gov. Mitt Romney’s column.
The latest Fox News polls released Friday show Romney has a 3 percentage point lead in the Sunshine State. That’s an 8-point reversal and an 8-point increase for Romney, compared to polls essentially prior to the first presidential debate, Oct. 3.
When focusing on the state’s most interested voters, Romney‘s advantage expands to 11 points over President Obama. Luntz tells Fox News’ "America’s News Headquarters" those number are just too strong to consider Florida still up for grabs.
Like many pollsters and pundits, Luntz thinks Ohio is the "key state."
Luntz says given how tight the race is in several key states, he isn’t ruling out a situation in which Obama wins the Electoral College and Romney wins the popular vote — something that has happened just three times in U.S. history.
"The odds of it are not great," he said. "There are other states that are in play… . Virginia is an essential state. Everyone is watching Wisconsin. And there are several others such as New Hampshire and Iowa that are still in play."